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The futures positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum have fallen for several consecutive weeks, down by nearly 40% from the August peak, and the volume of options both rebounded by nearly 10%. On the last Friday of this month (quarterly delivery day), 72,200 Bitcoin option contracts will expire, with a nominal value of more than US$740 million. Since September, the ratio of Bitcoin options PCR holdings has continued to fall.
Weekly market dynamics
- Huobi launches Ethereum options contract.
- LedgerX launched a bitcoin mini futures contract settled in physical objects, with the subject matter of the contract being 0.01BTC.
- Binance has launched XRPUSD, ETCUSD, TRXUSD and EOSUSD currency-based perpetual contracts.
Overview of extreme market liquidation
In the past week (September 4 to September 10), Bitcoin briefly fell below the $10,000 mark several times, and now it fluctuates around $10,200. In the early hours of the 6th, Bitcoin fell by nearly US$400 in half an hour, approaching US$9,800 at one time, and Ethereum once fell to US$308. During the same period of time, the Bitcoin liquidation amount was 24.2 million US dollars, and the Ethereum liquidation amount reached 42.29 million US dollars. The total amount of Ethereum liquidation reached 77 million US dollars.
BitMEX, Binance, Bybit, Huobi and OKEx five exchanges’ Bitcoin futures liquidation data statistics, source: Coin
The statistical scope of Bitcoin futures includes BitMEX, Binance, Bitfinex, Bakkt, Bybit, CME, Deribit, FTX, Huobi and OKEx. The statistical scope of Ethereum futures includes BitMEX, Binance, Bitfinex, Bybit, Deribit, FTX, Huobi and OKEx.
Bitcoin trading volume continued the momentum of continuous rebound after a sharp dive two weeks ago. The total futures trading volume in the past week was 88.247 billion US dollars, an increase of nearly 5% from the previous month. Among them, Binance’s weekly trading volume increased by 20% month-on-month.
i Daily trading volume of Bitcoin futures contracts, source: Skew
Ethereum’s trading volume increased by more than 60% month-on-month last week, and it rose by 2% this week. The total trading volume in the past week was US$51.325 billion. Similar to Bitcoin futures, Binance’s weekly Ethereum trading volume also increased by more than 18% from the previous month.
Ethereum futures contract daily trading volume, source: Skew
The open position of Bitcoin futures continued to fall for five consecutive weeks, falling more than 5% in the past week to US$3.733 billion. The current position value is nearly 35% lower than the historical peak ($5.7 billion) on August 17.
Open positions in Bitcoin futures, source: Skew
The value of Ethereum holdings has also fallen for four consecutive weeks and has fallen below US$1 billion. As of September 10, it closed at US$989 million, a 41% drop from the historical high in mid-August.
Open positions in Ethereum futures, source: Skew
The value of Bitcoin and Ethereum futures positions has gradually fallen from the peak, or represents the exit of short-term hedging or panic positions. In the next one or two weeks, if the data fails to rebound, it means a decline in short-term market confidence.
The scope of Bitcoin options statistics includes Bakkt, Bit.com (launched on August 17), CME, Deribit, Huobi (launched on September 1), LedgerX and OKEx. The scope of Ethereum options statistics is Deribit and OKEx.
In the past week, the trading volume of Bitcoin options rebounded by more than 9% to US$1.041 billion.
Bitcoin options daily trading volume, source: Skew
Among them, Deribit’s trading volume increased by more than 20% month-on-month, and its proportion rose from 66% last week to 74% this week. And Bit.com’s transaction volume continued to account for about 10%. The trading volume of the newly launched Huobi Options on September 1 was US$4.491 million in the past week, and the trading volume accounted for less than 0.5%.
Ethereum’s trading volume also rebounded simultaneously. The total trading volume in the past week reached 250 million US dollars, an increase of over 9% from the previous week.
Daily trading volume of Ethereum options, data source: Skew
The open position of Bitcoin options gradually recovered after a reduction of more than 27% on August 28 (the last Friday of August). As of September 10, it was $1.744 billion, an increase of more than 4% from a week ago.
Open positions in Bitcoin options, source: Skew
Ethereum option holdings are not much different from a week ago, with fluctuations within 2%.
Open positions in Ethereum options, source: Skew
Ratio of PCR open interest
Since September 1st, the ratio of Bitcoin PCR holdings has continued to fall , and so far is 0.68, which means that investors believe that the market is bullish in the short term.
Put/Call Ratio (Put/Call Ratio, PCR) is an indicator used to measure the ratio of bearish calls. If the PCR value is greater than 1, it means that the short is greater than the long; if it is less than 1, the short is less than the long.
The ratio of Bitcoin options’ PCR holdings
As of now, the ratio of the PCR holdings of Ethereum options is 0.84.
The ratio of the PCR holdings of Ethereum options
In terms of Bitcoin options, nearly 20,000 contracts expire today, with a notional value of more than 200 million U.S. dollars. On the last Friday of the month (September 25, quarterly delivery day), 72,200 contracts will expire, with a nominal value of over US$740 million .
Bitcoin option expiration, source: Skew
In terms of Ethereum options, 187,100 contracts will expire today, with a nominal value of approximately US$68.1 million. More than 400,000 contracts will expire on September 25, with a nominal value of over US$161 million. 430,000 contracts will expire on the last Friday of December.
Ethereum option expiration status, source: Skew