TA: Bitcoin Rejected $10,800, And It’s Vulnerable to a Drop Below $10,500

Bitcoin price failed to clear the $10,800 resistance and started a fresh decline against the US Dollar. BTC could continue to move down below $10,500 as long as it is below the 100 hourly SMA.

• Bitcoin failed to hold gains and started a fresh decline from the $10,800 resistance level.
• The price broke the $10,650 support and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• This week’s important ascending channel was breached with support near $10,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair is currently holding the $10,550 support, but it remains at a risk of more losses.

Bitcoin Price Resumes Decline

Bitcoin price failed to clear the key $10,800 resistance and started a fresh decline against the US Dollar. BTC traded as high as $10,803 before the bulls lost control.

As a result, there was a bearish reaction below the $10,750 and $10,700 levels. The decline gained pace after this week’s important ascending channel was breached with support near $10,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $10,387 swing low to $10,803 swing high. The price is now trading well below the $10,650 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin price dives below $10,650. Source: TradingView.com

It is currently holding the $10,550 support, but it remains at a risk of more losses. The $10,550 support is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $10,387 swing low to $10,803 swing high.

If there is a downside break below the $10,550 support level, the bears are likely to aim a test of the $10,387 swing low. Any further losses might lead the price towards the $10,250 support or even $10,000 in the near term.

Upsides Capped in BTC?

If bitcoin starts an upside correction, it could face resistance near the $10,650 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A proper close above the $10,650 and $10,680 levels might start a fresh increase. The next major resistance is near the $10,800 level, above which the bulls might aim a break above $10,950.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $10,550, followed by $10,380.

Major Resistance Levels – $10,650, $10,800 and $10,950.

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