DOGE’s 12% Spike Signals Renewed Risk-On Appetite in Crypto Markets

DOGE’s 12% Spike Signals Renewed Risk-On Appetite in Crypto Markets

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Dogecoin surged 12.4% in the past 24 hours, significantly outpacing the broader cryptocurrency market’s modest 2.4% gain. The rally was propelled by a confluence of factors: a broader resurgence in memecoins, a key technical breakout, and notable accumulation by large holders.

The recent momentum began with a sharp 32% spike in PEPE on January 2, which ignited renewed interest across the memecoin sector, lifting assets like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Bonk. This sector-wide rotation appears tied to the so-called “January effect,” where previously underperforming assets experience rebounds, amplified by post-liquidation repositioning as traders shift into higher-beta names. Dogecoin, which had been locked in an 80-day downtrend, has now broken that pattern—suggesting both short-covering and a resurgence of speculative appetite. With the altcoin season index climbing 43.75% over the past week, capital is visibly rotating out of Bitcoin and Ethereum and into smaller-cap tokens like DOGE.

From a technical standpoint, Dogecoin cleared a critical resistance level at $0.144—the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement—while also moving above its 7-day simple moving average of $0.126. However, the 7-day Relative Strength Index has climbed to 71.85, edging into overbought territory. While the breakout has dismantled the prior bearish structure, immediate upside is capped by resistance at $0.152, the high reached on January 2. If Dogecoin can maintain daily closes above $0.144, the next target may be $0.175, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Beyond that, the 200-day moving average at $0.194 remains a formidable psychological and technical barrier.

On-chain data further supports the bullish case. Over the past month, whales have accumulated more than 1 billion DOGE, rebuilding positions after a 43% decline over the prior 90 days. Institutional interest is also resurfacing: Nasdaq-listed BitVentures recently announced it had begun mining Dogecoin, and rumors of a potential DOGE ETF have reemerged in crypto media. Additionally, companies like CleanCore now hold 730 million DOGE in treasury reserves, underscoring growing corporate recognition of the asset’s utility and brand strength.

In sum, Dogecoin’s recent rally reflects a perfect storm of memecoin-fueled FOMO, technical catalysts, and strategic accumulation by large players. Yet, the sharpness of the 12.4% single-day gain—combined with an overbought RSI—calls for caution. Market participants will be watching closely to see whether DOGE can defend the $0.144 level into the weekend or if profit-taking reverses the momentum. Equally important is the stability of PEPE; after surging 32% on January 2, it has since pulled back by 38%, and any further weakness there could spill over into DOGE and the broader memecoin complex.